When is it jumpable at Skydive Sunrise (Fermo)?

The Skydive Sunrise jumpability score is green (≥70/100) when surface wind stays below 8 m/s, gusts below 10 m/s, cloud base sits above tandem exit altitude (Skydive Sunrise operates at typical operational altitudes of ENAC Italian dropzones), and no storms are incoming in the next 2 hours. Open the dropzone page to see the usable window hour by hour for the next 7 days.

Which weather model do you use for Skydive Sunrise?

The Skydive Sunrise primary forecast (temperature, cloud, visibility, CAPE, wind at 10/80/120 m altitudes) comes from the best-match model auto-selected for the area — typically ICON-EU (DWD). In parallel we query all 4 models — ICON-EU + ECMWF IFS + AROME France HD + GFS — on wind, gust and precipitation, and compute σ across them to estimate hour-by-hour forecast confidence.

Can I book a tandem in Fermo based on the forecast alone?

The forecast is a pre-decision tool (is it worth driving?) and never replaces the on-site jumpmaster's briefing. Even on a green score, the final go/no-go is taken by the dropzone using the actual ground wind reading. To book, contact Skydive Sunrise directly from the school page.

— Tools · Dropzone weather · Marche

WEATHER FERMO

Skydive Sunrise · tandem exit altitude 4000 m. Wind, gusts, cloud and visibility hour-by-hour with 4-model ensemble confidence, plus 7-day daily outlook. Designed to decide whether driving to the dropzone is worth it.

Now · 15:00

0/100

No-go

Cloud below minimumsStorm/rain

Wind

2.3 m/s

Gust

4.8 m/s

Low cloud

63%

~488 m

Rain

40%

0.2 mm

Visibility

31 km

Temp.

23°

feels 25°

Hour	Score	Wind	Gust	Cloud	Base	Rain	Vis.	Temp.	Conf.
SAT 19 · 15:00	0	2.3 m/s NE	4.8 m/s	L 63 M 9 H 78	488 m	0.2 mm	31 km	23°	●●●
SAT 19 · 16:00	0	2.5 m/s NE	5.6 m/s	L 59 M 36 H 75	350 m	0.8 mm	26 km	22°	●●○
SAT 19 · 17:00	75	1.5 m/s NE	5.0 m/s	L 46 M 34 H 100	—	0.3 mm	29 km	22°	●●●
SAT 19 · 18:00	100	1.3 m/s NE	3.0 m/s	L 47 M 0 H 0	—	0.3 mm	28 km	22°	●●●
SUN 20 · 08:00	0	1.5 m/s O	3.9 m/s	L 59 M 0 H 0	137 m	0%	14 km	17°	●●●
SUN 20 · 09:00	0	1.5 m/s O	4.2 m/s	L 58 M 0 H 0	325 m	0%	27 km	19°	●●●
SUN 20 · 10:00	0	2.1 m/s O	4.2 m/s	L 55 M 0 H 0	450 m	0%	31 km	21°	●●●
SUN 20 · 11:00	0	2.6 m/s NO	5.5 m/s	L 75 M 0 H 0	525 m	0%	33 km	22°	●●●
SUN 20 · 12:00	100	2.5 m/s NO	5.1 m/s	L 46 M 9 H 0	—	0%	37 km	23°	●●●
SUN 20 · 13:00	40	2.4 m/s N	5.0 m/s	L 64 M 21 H 0	875 m	0%	39 km	24°	●●●
SUN 20 · 14:00	40	2.6 m/s N	5.2 m/s	L 56 M 42 H 0	962 m	0%	40 km	25°	●●●
SUN 20 · 15:00	40	3.3 m/s NE	6.5 m/s	L 60 M 6 H 0	875 m	0%	38 km	25°	●●●
SUN 20 · 16:00	40	3.5 m/s NE	6.6 m/s	L 54 M 0 H 0	813 m	0%	38 km	24°	●●●
SUN 20 · 17:00	100	3.3 m/s NE	6.9 m/s	L 26 M 0 H 29	—	0%	37 km	24°	●●●
SUN 20 · 18:00	100	3.0 m/s NE	6.9 m/s	L 25 M 0 H 1	—	0%	35 km	23°	●●●
MON 21 · 08:00	100	1.7 m/s SO	4.0 m/s	L 0 M 0 H 54	—	0%	20 km	16°	●●●
MON 21 · 09:00	100	1.5 m/s O	4.0 m/s	L 0 M 0 H 1	—	0%	30 km	19°	●●●
MON 21 · 10:00	100	1.6 m/s O	4.4 m/s	L 0 M 0 H 74	—	0%	39 km	22°	●●●
MON 21 · 11:00	100	3.1 m/s NO	5.9 m/s	L 0 M 18 H 1	—	0%	40 km	24°	●●●
MON 21 · 12:00	100	3.3 m/s N	6.5 m/s	L 12 M 20 H 0	—	0%	40 km	25°	●●●
MON 21 · 13:00	100	2.9 m/s N	6.3 m/s	L 50 M 10 H 0	1213 m	0%	41 km	26°	●●●
MON 21 · 14:00	40	3.1 m/s N	6.2 m/s	L 52 M 26 H 0	1363 m	0%	41 km	26°	●●●

Best jumpable windows · 7 days

2-hour windows with average score ≥ 60, ordered chronologically.

SAT 19

08:00 → 10:00

Avg score: 100/100

SUN 20

17:00 → 19:00

Avg score: 100/100

MON 21

08:00 → 10:00

Avg score: 100/100

MON 21

10:00 → 12:00

Avg score: 100/100

MON 21

12:00 → 14:00

Avg score: 100/100

Show daily summary · 7 days

SAT 19

23° / 16°

W: 3 m/sG: 6 m/sR: 5.4 mm (75%)

Window: 08:00

SUN 20

25° / 16°

W: 4 m/sG: 7 m/sR: 0.0 mm (0%)

Window: 17:00

MON 21

26° / 15°

W: 4 m/sG: 8 m/sR: 0.0 mm (0%)

Window: 08:00

TUE 22

21° / 13°

W: 6 m/sG: 11 m/sR: 0.0 mm (3%)

Window: 17:00

WED 23

20° / 12°

W: 6 m/sG: 11 m/sR: 0.0 mm (0%)

Window: 09:00

THU 24

22° / 13°

W: 4 m/sG: 10 m/sR: 12.6 mm (59%)

Window: 09:00

FRI 25

22° / 15°

W: 5 m/sG: 8 m/sR: 1.2 mm (63%)

Window: 12:00

⚠️ The forecast never replaces the jumpmaster's briefing. ICON-EU + AROME + ECMWF + GFS are high-resolution models, but on complex orography (Alps, Adriatic coast) they may miss reality by a factor. Always verify with the dropzone before driving over.

Legend · jumpability score

70+

Jumpable 70–100

Comfortable operating conditions, including for students and tandems.

40+

Borderline 40–69

On the edge — tight wind or cloud. Often no students; sport jumpers with caution.

No-go 0–39

Extreme wind, gusts, storms, cloud below exit, or visibility below threshold.

The score combines surface wind, gusts, upper-level wind, cloud vs DZ exit altitude, CAPE (storms), rain in the next 2 hours and visibility. Operational thresholds, not meteorological. How the models work ↗

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